Page 64: of Offshore Engineer Magazine (Aug/Sep 2016)
Read this page in Pdf, Flash or Html5 edition of Aug/Sep 2016 Offshore Engineer Magazine
While revenue backlogs have dried up
Question 2. Will the next wave of LNG and debt has matured, operating costs have export projects get the go ahead? remained, leaving the industry with a cash de? cit of almost US$6 billion by the end of 2015.
The opening of LNG exports
Despite steps to cut planned capital ex-
DRILLING in 2016 will see a surge in penditure, this net cash position looks set to supply from the US. remain negative as operating costs remain high and contracted revenue projections continue to decline. (Further ? nancial analy- sis of the current market can be found in
Energy Insights’ Offshore Drilling Corporate
Performance Analysis Report).
The industry isn’t sitting idly by as rev- enues are decimated – mindful of their lim- $9-10 $6-8 mmbtu mmbtu ited control over future revenue, rig owners
Longer-term projects will only be viable if Prices currently sit at around $6-8 are cutting costs, renegotiating contracts and a gas price of $9-10 mmbtu is achieved. mmbtu as a result of low-oil prices. using short-term bankruptcy to restructure their debts.
More innovative operational cost cutting
Question 3. What impact will the Middle
East have on the global gas market? measures include minimizing manning levels, moving rigs out of oversupplied re-
Though the Middle East currently holds 43% of global gas reserves, gions, cluster-stacking ? eets and embracing it has only been accountable for 16% of total trade ?ows. partnership as a route to improving project management.
Meanwhile overheads are being cut via re- ductions in wages, dividends and corporate expenses, the retirement of non-performing 16% of total functions, and consolidation of corporate trade ?ows premises.
If there’s any positive to be taken from the current market conditions, it’s that rig own- 43% of global ers have been forced to embrace a more agile, gas collaborative, streamlined way of working.
It should position them well to bene? t from these tough decisions as and when the upturn does arrive.
Two potential game changers:
Ryan Peacock, based in
Houston, works at
Zohr
McKinsey Energy
Insights as an oil? eld
Egypt service manager support- ing clients in market due
The warming of relations with Iran
The discovery of the 850 bcm diligence, market which holds 18% of the world’s natural super-giant gas ?eld at Zohr in Egypt gas reserves on its own forecasting and analysis.
He was previously an engagement manager for McKinsey and Company. Peacock holds a
Question 4. What role will oil prices
PhD in chemical engineering from Stanford play in determining the future for gas?
University.
If oil prices remain low, the global gas market will be impacted in three ways
William Wu, based in
London, works for
New facilities won’t
McKinsey Energy achieve FID approval
Insights as an ana-
The world will be lyst.