Page 8: of Maritime Reporter Magazine (March 15, 1985)

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Navy (continued from page 8) al shipbuilding. Included in the Ad- ministration's overall $313.7 billion

FY 1986 Defense Department bud- get proposal is $104.8 billion for

Navy programs—and, of that, some $11.4 billion is earmarked for the construction of 23 new ships, and the conversion of five others.

The FY 1986 program will be fol- lowed, moreover, by "outyear" pro- grams of about the same magnitude for the next four years, according to

FYDP (five-year defense plan) pro- jections in the annual report to Con- gress by Defense Secretary Caspar

Weinberger.

The Weinberger report, which kicked off the Pentagon's annual "posture" hearings before Congress, projects a five-year shipbuilding program (fiscal years 1986 through 1990, inclusive) of 107 new-con- struction ships and 24 conversions at a price tag of just over $75.0 bil- lion.

A cautionary note, however: Out- year projections are just that—pro- jections, and nothing more. Most such projections in the past have erred on the optimistic side. When the pressure is on, as it is now, to cut the overall federal budget the natu- ral tendency in the White House as well as in Congress is to look at the biggest targets for immediate cuts.

The inevitable result is that cur- rent-year shipbuilding programs al- most always represent a reduction from the FYDP projections of the four previous years.

The FY 1986 shipbuilding pro- gram runs true to form. As the Ship- builders Council of America points out in its own well-researched anal- ysis of the FY budget, the $11.4 bil- lion requested for SCN (shipbuild- ing and conversion, Navy) "repre- sents a reduction from last year's estimate for FY 1986 of $14.1 bil- lion, which would have constructed 27 new ships and converted two oth- ers. Thus, a reduction of 19 percent (in current dollars) led to delay or deletion of four new ships and the conversion of three more ships than was contemplated last year."

Even with that caveat, the indus- try has to be more than pleased with the administration's continuing commitment not only to rebuild the

U.S. Navy's active ship inventory to the 600-ship level, but also to shore up such weak spots as amphibious shipping, mine warfare, and the sealift fleet—all of which had been neglected by the last several admin- istrations (and by the Navy itself, as even its strongest supporters would grudingly concede).

The FY 1986 budget continues that broad-spectrum approach, funding not only such big-ticket items as Trident ballistic missile submarines and Aegis guided mis- sile cruisers, but also such relatively unglamorous ships as TAO-187 oil- ers and modestly priced LCACs (landing craft, air cushion) for

Navy/USMC amphibious forces.

Following—from the budget re- quest and backup documents, the

Weinberger report, and such stan- dard sources as Jane's Fighting

Maritime Reporter/Engineering News