Page 26: of Maritime Reporter Magazine (August 2006)
AWO Edition: Inland & Offshore Waterways
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26 Maritime Reporter & Engineering News will facilitate continued growth for our
Asia-Pacific business.
MR: What do you consider the top priorities for your company in the coming 12 to 24 months?
Crager: • Deepwater field development and marine pipeline projects Arctic projects LNG projects Deepwater hybrid risers FPSO, FSO, FLNG, FSRU Long-distance subsea tie-backs High-pressure/high-temperature (HP/HT) projects
MR: What is your outlook for the business in 2006 and beyond?
Crager: Barring an unforeseen shock, we envision sustained demand that will put continuing pressure on increased production of oil and gas. The upside may be limited by the industry operating at nearly full capacity. That is, the industry has only so may drill rigs, installation vessels, reservoir engineers and technical staff to progress develop- ments. These industry constraints will dampen significant year-on-year growth in the numbers of offshore projects.
The cost of technical personnel will rise as competition increases between opera- tors, contractors and equipment suppli- ers for scarce resources. National oil companies also are demanding increas- ing levels of local content, causing diffi- culties in staffing major projects in remote locations. Rising costs for raw materials and equipment will further impact development of projects. Also note: projects that were marginal at $30 oil are likely to remain marginal at $50 oil due to cost increases.
High political risk in some oil and gas provinces, including parts of the Middle
East and West Africa, will continue to cause operators to balance their portfo- lios and investments, driving develop- ment activity toward locations-such as the U.S. Gulf of Mexico-that enjoy more predictable and acceptable political and fiscal risks.
While perhaps located in increasingly challenging frontiers-such as the off- shore arctic and deeper waters-and more expensive to develop, operators likely will pursue exploration and develop- ment in regions less impacted by politi- cal unrest.
MR: What markets do you see as being lucrative in the coming years?
Which segments do you see on the decline?
Crager: Potential growth areas: Construction vessels capable of multi- tasking in deepwater, including laying large-diameter pipelines efficiently and installing deepwater templates, moor- ings, risers and other equipment Multifunction construction vessel for the arctic environment Multipurpose vessel for subsea tie- back installations FPSOs in GOM Floating LNG and floating storage and regasification units
Potential decline areas: Areas with high risks because of polit- ical, economic and cultural unrest
MR: What do you consider to be the biggest challenges to your company's success?
Crager: Shortage of skilled personnel Globalization; i.e., the ability to out- source project scope and resource shar- ing Local content requirements of NOCs and alliances with indigenous contrac- tors Commoditization of "highly" special- ized services and operator expectations for low-cost solutions Jones Act for offshore Alaskan arctic vessels and GOM shuttle vessels Offshore arctic design and construc- tion technology advancement to miti- gate high investment costs Limited visa quotas limiting move- ment of skilled engineers. " O N N I E , A N E % L K ' R O V E 6 I L L A G E ) , &