Page 65: of Maritime Reporter Magazine (June 1995)

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.ture of the next five years. The shipbuilding lustry, is, however, dogged by the overcapacity d a seeming inability of governments to accept the jnomic realities of the marketplace; instead, subsi- sation is still rife.

The most recent OECD accord on the removal of vernment subsidies requires an end to direct assis- nce by 1996, but it remains to be seen how effective is will prove. Competition for most yards in the ture will be fierce, with newbuilding revenue tend- g to be thinly spread.

Most shipbuilders unable to rely any longer upon iptive markets, as previously existed at corpora- on, national or regional levels, must compete in the obal marketplace. The shipbuilder who is alert to le state of the world economy and the shipping larkets, and able to offer a better deal to prospective astomers will fare best.

Over the next few years there will be important hanges in the product mix of shipyards and in larket share. Newbuilding prices will be affected by lemand and supply side factors, subsidization, legis- ation, inflation and exchange rates, with improve- nents in technological, managerial and marketing )rices playing an important part at the design stage is well as during building.

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Table 1

Global Cargo Carrying Fleet in 1989 and 1993 with Reported Newbuilding Completions and Disposals/Losses by Shiptype

Mid

Ships 1989

Totals

M gt

M dwt + '89

Ships + '90

Ships + '91

Ships '92 +

Ships + •93

Ships Ships

M gt

End 1993

Totals

M dwt Avage

Oil Tankers 6,383 129.6 246.2 172 67 145 55 171 50 221 85 273 96 6,550 143.1 270.2 16

Chemical Carriers 942 3.4 6.2 75 15 97 22 105 18 128 21 92 11 1,958 11.1 18.8 11

Liq Gas Tanker 789 10.1 10.5 33 6 47 4 55 4 43 7 33 7 946 13.1 13.4 13

Bulk Carriers 4,708 109.5 187.4 176 33 176 27 126 22 106 22 113 23 5,689 124.8 208.7 14

Obo Carriers 353 20.0 37.7 6 3 3 8 5 14 11 5 14 263 16.1 30.0 14

Container Ships 1,122 22.7 24.1 44 9 68 2 78 2 82 7 94 8 1,461 31.7 35.3 11

General Cargo 16,544 51.7 75.4 319 318 351 248 381 271 349 259 231 161 17,239 66.5 81.4 20

Refrig Ships 1,402 6.6 7.4 50 13 58 12 49 10 43 12 45 27 1,553 7.8 8.5 15

Ro-Ro Cargo Ship 971 7.1 8.0 35 10 22 7 30 4 33 2 23 7 1,494 14.4 8.2 16

Ro-Ro/Pass Ship 1,902 6.5 1.9 75 8 71 7 42 4 67 2 49 7 2,125 8.4 3.4 16

Passenger Ships 2,713 6.2 0.6 107 10 118 14 96 13 89 8 81 6 2,384 5.3 1.2 18

Other Cargo 2,309 16.1 13.0 3 4 1 5 2 5 0 2 0 0 490 2.0 14.6 20

Totals 40,138 388.5 618.4 1,095 496 1,154 406 1,143 408 1,165 438 1,039 356 42,152 433.3 693.7 17

Note: Reported completed in first two quarters of 1994: +/- signifies reported additions and disposals/losses in current year.

Ships '000 dwt Totals are affected by changes in ship categorisation and other factors.

Oil Tankers 93 6,137 1993 passenger ship numbers include 1,780 vessels under 500gt.

Oil/Ore Carriers 1 83 1993 Ro-Ro Cargo and Ro-Ro Passenger/Cargo Totals include 2,862 ships under 5,000 dwt.

Dry Bulk Carriers 73 5,230

General Cargo 156 661

Containerships & Others 79 2,294

Sources: Lloyd's Register of Shipping, ISL

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