ASNE Flagship Section Hears Paper On Engineering Costs And Risks
The second meeting for the 1981 82 season of the Flagship Section of The American Society of Naval Engineers had a unique format. It was held at a location close to the working place of many members, the Crystal City Marriott, which was also near a metro subway stop for the convenience of other members, and at a convenient time — immediately after normal working hours.
The meeting consisted of a cocktail hour and technical session only, enabling the participants to be on their way or free to attend other activities by 7:30 p.m. The technical session entailed examination of the "Costs and Risks of Engineering Progress— An Update," a topic first broached by Adm. Nathan Sonenshein some 22 years ago, when he was a captain in the Bureau of Ships.
The a u t h o r s , Comdr. Clark Graham. Lt. Comdrs. James Baskerville and Michael Reed, and Jan Hope used the common parameters of "Goal," "Risk," "Application," "Performance," "Evaluation," "Correction," and "Lessons Learned," to examine six major programs conducted by NAVSEA in the last two decades.
These programs, "Waste Heat Boiler," "Pressure Fired Boiler," "Digital Combat System," "AO 177 Highly Skewed Propeller," "Drone Antisubmarine Helicopter (DASH)," and the "Marine Gas Turbine" were analyzed as to how they contributed to engineering progress.
The conclusion reached was that while not all programs will be highly successful nor even slightly successful, to obtain any success at all, a bold engineering outlook taking into consideration past experience and the acceptance of calculated risks must be the approach taken by NAVSEA in the future.
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